Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:07:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e36…2985
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$188 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$189 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$358
Realized+$189
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)3 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 5 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$189
7 days+$189
14 days+$189
30 days+$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $208 $209 +$1 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $30 $27 −$2 (-8%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $172 +$181 +105%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $45 +$12 +27%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$180
tech 9% +$8
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $31 7h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $201 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $101 11h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $353 12h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 31h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 78¢ $45 32h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $101 34h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $8 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $61 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +11.7% +1.0% 67% 67% +67.4%
≤30d 3 +11.7% +1.0% 67% 67% +67.4%
≤90d 3 +11.7% +1.0% 67% 67% +67.4%
all 3 +11.7% +1.0% 67% 67% +67.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.0% 67% +67.4%
10% -8.6% 67% +51.4%
15% -17.5% 33% +36.8%
20% -25.6% 33% +23.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $357.53 · official $357.55 (match) · 15 history records