trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 68% | 47% | -0.5% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 61% | 43% | -0.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 61% | 43% | -0.4% |
| all | 23 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 61% | 43% | -0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 43% | -0.4% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 13% | -10.0% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 13% | -18.7% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 13% | -26.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | No | 91¢ | 90¢ | $61 | $61 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | $3 | $5 | +$1 (+42%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $56 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $50 | +$6 | +12% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $55 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $6 | +$5 | +80% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $48 | +$8 | +17% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$8 | +19% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 19 | $21 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $16 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $14 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $12 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $29 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$6 | +197% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -92% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -32% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$11 | +272% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |