Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e2f…ce14
crypto · 157 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$33 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses63 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)155 / 157
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.9
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$46
14 days+$34
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 -5.4% -14.4% 30% 18% -22.8%
≤30d 155 +10.1% -0.4% 41% 30% -5.3%
≤90d 155 +10.1% -0.4% 41% 30% -5.3%
all 155 +10.1% -0.4% 41% 30% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 30% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 28% -14.4%
15% -18.6% 25% -22.6%
20% -26.6% 21% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 484 history records