Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:01:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e22…67b6
crypto · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,798 -69%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,437 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$6,437
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses218 / 502
Open positions1
Markets (closed)720 / 358
History coverage26d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day123.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,999
7 days−$6,152
14 days−$6,232
30 days−$6,437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 81¢ 88¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$13 +284%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$26 +2023%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$10 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$10 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$11 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$13 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$18 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$18 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$27 +6085%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$9 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$16 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$18 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$62 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$5 +1930%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$50 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$12 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$456
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 527 -8.8% -17.5% 26% 24% -67.8%
≤30d 720 -5.9% -14.8% 30% 27% -44.4%
≤90d 720 -5.9% -14.8% 30% 27% -44.4%
all 720 -5.9% -14.8% 30% 27% -44.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 27% -44.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 24% -49.7%
15% -30.4% 22% -54.6%
20% -37.2% 20% -59.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.78 · official $2.69 · 3500 history records