Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e1a…7690
other · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$76,367 +99%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,633 · open −$3,171
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33,342
Realized+$4,633
Unrealized−$3,171
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses114 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)18%
Open positions126
Markets (closed)347 / 109
History coverage8d
Avg bet$705
Trades / day443.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit2%
Chart Positions 126 History 347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,143
7 days+$4,633
14 days+$4,633
30 days+$4,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 91¢ 81¢ $1,507 $1,334 −$173 (-11%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 82¢ 88¢ $1,058 $1,145 +$87 (+8%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 93¢ 84¢ $1,150 $1,040 −$110 (-10%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 83¢ 94¢ $905 $1,026 +$121 (+13%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 98¢ 91¢ $1,087 $1,015 −$72 (-7%)
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 99¢ 95¢ $1,054 $1,014 −$40 (-4%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 87¢ 86¢ $1,018 $1,004 −$15 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 83¢ 86¢ $939 $975 +$36 (+4%)
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $910 $902 −$9 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $829 $830 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 92¢ 98¢ $740 $791 +$51 (+7%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $661 $686 +$24 (+4%)
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No 97¢ 100¢ $582 $597 +$15 (+3%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 56¢ 94¢ $337 $563 +$226 (+67%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 27¢ $28 $557 +$530 (+1910%)
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 9¢ $119 $529 +$410 (+344%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 30¢ $51 $514 +$463 (+913%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $511 $513 +$2 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $509 $513 +$4 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 93¢ $549 $512 −$37 (-7%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $499 $500 +$1 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $500 $499 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 93¢ 100¢ $459 $491 +$32 (+7%)
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $123 $462 +$339 (+276%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $449 $456 +$7 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $46 −$52 -114%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 14 $423 −$451 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $291 −$291 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 14 $99 −$214 -218%
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in March 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 14 $40 +$141 +354%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $48 −$80 -166%
Will Andrew Tate post 250-279 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 14 $305 −$305 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 14 $281 −$236 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 14 $19 +$815 +4274%
Will Andrew Tate post 310-339 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $0 −$115 -372234%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 14 $13 −$37 -277%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $282 +$729 +258%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in April 2026? Jun 14 $41 −$49 -117%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 14 $78 −$118 -150%
Will Andrew Tate post 190-219 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 14 $205 +$95 +46%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Jun 14 $85 −$177 -208%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 14 $118 −$118 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 14 $8 +$62 +803%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $64 −$83 -130%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $25 +$142 +576%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 14 $108 −$169 -156%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 14 $281 −$199 -71%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 14 $125 +$187 +150%
Will Andrew Tate post 220-249 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 14 $347 +$107 +31%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $58 −$87 -150%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $186 −$129 -69%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $54 −$78 -144%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 14 $242 −$28 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 14 $158 −$256 -162%
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026? Jun 14 $94 −$91 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 14 $78 −$91 -117%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Jun 14 $188 −$188 -100%
Will Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $59 −$65 -111%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 14 $386 −$386 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 14 $58 −$87 -150%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 14 $232 −$265 -114%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026? Jun 14 $102 −$111 -109%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 14 $7 +$68 +925%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026? Jun 14 $20 −$34 -175%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 14 $39 +$139 +355%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026? Jun 14 $41 −$48 -117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$5,235
world 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 14m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $11 15m
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 15m
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $99 19m
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $81 20m
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $33 20m
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $99 20m
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $32 20m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $32 21m
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 22m
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $67 23m
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $99 23m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $31 29m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $21 31m
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 33m
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $100 33m
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $42 39m
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $43 41m
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $34 47m
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $62 47m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $10 47m
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 49m
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $22 49m
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $78 1h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $35 1h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $97 1h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $22 2h
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026? BUY No 99¢ $20 2h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+128.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 347 +152.0% +128.0% 33% 29% +0.0%
≤30d 347 +152.0% +128.0% 33% 29% +0.0%
≤90d 347 +152.0% +128.0% 33% 29% +0.0%
all 347 +152.0% +128.0% 33% 29% +0.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover443.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +128.0% 29% +0.0%
10% ← realistic here +106.2% 29% -9.5%
15% +86.3% 28% -18.3%
20% +68.0% 28% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,341.99 · official $33,342.43 (match) · 3500 history records