Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1e04…b576 crypto 375 markets active 1h ago coverage 233d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$482 (+6%) realized +$482 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%356W / 19L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day1.7pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$100now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$22
14 days+$36
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% +$163
other 16% +$155
finance 9% −$11
sports 5% +$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 0% -7.3%
≤30d 136 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -8.4%
≤90d 362 -3.0% -12.3% 95% 1% -17.5%
all 375 +2.1% -7.7% 95% 4% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 4% -4.4%
10% -16.5% 3% -13.6%
15% -24.6% 3% -21.9%
20% -32.0% 3% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$38 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.66 per $1 lost it wins $1.66
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

233d coverage
Net worth$100
Realized+$482
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses356 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)375 / 375
History coverage233d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 375 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$3 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $23 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 9? Jun 09 $50 +$4 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.00 · official $100.00 (match) · 1010 history records