Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1df6…fc9b
other · 230 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 217
Whale WR (big bets)6%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)229 / 230
History coverage122d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$15
14 days−$26
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $61 $61 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $260 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $576 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $361 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $258 +$1 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $565 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $712 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $153 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $574 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $332 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $448 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $322 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $63 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $313 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $718 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $228 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $518 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $140 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $282 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $311 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $708 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $312 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $175 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 05 $427 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $341 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $840 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 05 $267 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $471 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $313 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 04 $134 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $66 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $220 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $150 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $604 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $191 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $309 −$1 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $67 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $155 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $339 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $451 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $349 −$1 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $22 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $625 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $181 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $143 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $586 $0 +0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $214 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$35
sports 23% −$10
politics 7% −$5
culture 7% −$9
economics 6% −$4
crypto 5% −$1
world 4% −$4
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $61 1h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 5h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 7h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $61 9h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $61 11h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 15h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 16h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $61 18h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $62 20h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 21h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 23h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $62 42h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $62 43h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $62 2d
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $62 2d
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $62 2d
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $62 2d
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $62 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $62 2d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $62 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 3d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 3d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $63 3d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $63 3d
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $63 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 70 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 229 -0.1% -9.6% 5% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.21 · official $61.21 (match) · 1234 history records