trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2,947 | −$243 | -8% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $152 | +$6 | +4% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $659 | −$77 | -12% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,379 | +$9 | +1% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $247 | −$34 | -14% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,070 | −$138 | -13% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $7,674 | +$14,945 | +195% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 10 | $1,227 | −$104 | -8% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 09 | $556 | −$3 | -0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $42 | −$40 | -96% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $2,461 | +$9,396 | +382% |
| Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e | Jun 02 | $362 | −$350 | -97% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 02 | $331 | −$320 | -96% |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 02 | $508 | −$493 | -97% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 29 | $1,189 | −$1,189 | -100% |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July? | May 29 | $10,011 | −$10,011 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | May 29 | $23,100 | −$23,100 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 21 | $997 | −$997 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Mar 27 | $7,299 | +$25,865 | +354% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +216.6% | +186.4% | 33% | 11% | -15.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +137.9% | +115.3% | 29% | 14% | +48.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +137.9% | +115.3% | 29% | 14% | +48.3% |
| all | 19 | +99.2% | +80.3% | 26% | 16% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +80.3% | 16% | -12.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +63.0% | 16% | -20.9% |
| 15% | +47.3% | 16% | -28.6% |
| 20% | +32.8% | 16% | -35.6% |