Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:35:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1df2…89a0
sports · 45 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
+$5,358 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,244 · open −$923
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4,128
Realized+$6,244
Unrealized−$923
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses21 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$394
Open positions11
Markets (closed)48 / 45
Avg bet$1,099
Trades / day2694.7
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 11 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,244
7 days+$6,244
14 days+$6,244
30 days+$6,244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 56¢ 44¢ $3,955 $3,096 −$859 (-22%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 43¢ 55¢ $357 $455 +$97 (+27%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 86¢ 100¢ $205 $239 +$33 (+16%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 88¢ 88¢ $123 $122 −$1 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 83¢ 82¢ $70 $69 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 62¢ $39 $50 +$10 (+26%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 42¢ 44¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+3%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 52¢ 50¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 50¢ 48¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-4%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 64¢ 64¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 47¢ 0¢ $203 $0 −$203 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 31¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Alexander Vasilev 16¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Luca Nardi 40¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Alex Bolt 72¢ 0¢ $288 $0 −$288 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? No 31¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? No 13¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova Samuel Heredia 7¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Hamish Stewart 11¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Segundo Goity Zapico 9¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Andrea Collarini 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 12 $37 +$199 +533%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9,112 +$2,946 +32%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3,514 −$654 -19%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5,938 +$302 +5%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $901 +$73 +8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1,078 −$224 -21%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $951 +$68 +7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,269 +$125 +10%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $646 +$13 +2%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $239 −$217 -91%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2,558 +$466 +18%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $970 −$53 -5%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $52 −$51 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $269 +$36 +13%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $412 −$155 -38%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $501 +$1,041 +208%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $97 +$33 +34%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $229 −$32 -14%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $195 −$107 -55%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $67 −$7 -10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $8,556 +$1,419 +17%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $75 −$56 -75%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $383 +$60 +16%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $420 +$188 +45%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $913 −$398 -44%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $338 −$17 -5%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $482 −$362 -75%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $345 +$101 +29%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $268 −$8 -3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $1,254 +$192 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $1,925 +$173 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $405 −$50 -12%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $759 −$117 -15%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1,769 +$718 +41%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $503 +$243 +48%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $222 +$392 +176%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $428 +$799 +187%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $549 −$134 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$4,527
other 37% +$1,288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 98¢ $99 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 4¢ $5 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 4¢ $5 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $2 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $6 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $6 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $6 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 5¢ $6 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 7¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 7¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $8 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $88 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 7¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 7¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $7 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 92¢ $92 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $3 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 6h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 8¢ $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 8¢ $9 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $3 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 9¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -3.2% -12.4% 44% 31% +1.9%
≤30d 48 -3.2% -12.4% 44% 31% +1.9%
≤90d 48 -3.2% -12.4% 44% 31% +1.9%
all 48 -3.2% -12.4% 44% 31% +1.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2694.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 31% +1.9%
10% -20.8% 21% -7.8%
15% ← realistic here -28.4% 15% -16.7%
20% -35.4% 8% -24.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,127.99 · official $4,127.99 (match) · 3500 history records