Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1dec…c9c7
crypto · 776 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$223 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$229 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$229
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses458 / 316
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)774 / 776
History coverage84d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 774 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$58
14 days−$55
30 days−$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+9%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -44%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 09 $37 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 09 $25 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 09 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $52 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $34 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 08 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $19 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$229
other 1% −$4
world 0% −$8
sports 0% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -16.3% -24.3% 37% 20% -13.9%
≤30d 577 -9.7% -18.3% 67% 21% -12.7%
≤90d 774 -10.7% -19.2% 59% 22% -13.3%
all 774 -10.7% -19.2% 59% 22% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 22% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.9% 13% -21.6%
15% -34.0% 7% -29.2%
20% -40.5% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.76 · official $10.78 (match) · 3500 history records