Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1de7…2140
crypto · 84 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$226 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$163
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses62 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)83 / 84
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$163
7 days−$163
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 83¢ 74¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$20 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$54
other 12% −$220
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $40 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $49 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $36 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $37 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $35 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $27 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $41 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $14 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -5.1% -14.2% 75% 57% -17.8%
≤30d 83 -5.1% -14.2% 75% 57% -17.8%
≤90d 83 -5.1% -14.2% 75% 57% -17.8%
all 83 -5.1% -14.2% 75% 57% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 57% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 37% -25.7%
15% -29.9% 19% -32.9%
20% -36.8% 5% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.93 · official $26.93 (match) · 212 history records