Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T15:27:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1D 0x1de2…1038 crypto 1205 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$770 (-4%) realized −$770 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate73%881W / 324L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day86.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$9
14 days−$70
30 days−$693
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$690
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -0.6% -10.1% 72% 25% -8.9%
≤30d 766 -5.5% -14.5% 69% 26% -13.8%
≤90d 1205 -3.5% -12.7% 73% 30% -12.7%
all 1205 -3.5% -12.7% 73% 30% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 30% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 3% -21.1%
15% -28.6% 1% -28.7%
20% -35.6% 1% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$770
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses881 / 324
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1205 / 1205
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day86.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1205 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $17 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $25 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 23 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 21 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $17 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $125 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $17 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$8 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $26 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $27 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $17 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $27 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records