Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:52:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1de1…5e00
crypto · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$303 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$413 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$413
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses236 / 153
Open positions1
Markets (closed)389 / 390
History coverage115d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 389 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$201
7 days−$154
14 days−$163
30 days−$163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 71¢ 26¢ $20 $7 −$12 (-63%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$4 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$8 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$90 -89%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +208%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $30 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $30 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $11 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $24 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 +6.8% -3.4% 62% 62% -19.1%
≤30d 218 +6.5% -3.7% 62% 61% -19.4%
≤90d 352 -4.2% -13.3% 59% 55% -16.3%
all 389 +0.3% -9.3% 61% 56% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 56% -14.0%
10% -17.9% 49% -22.2%
15% -25.9% 33% -29.7%
20% -33.1% 24% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.42 · official $7.42 (match) · 1066 history records