trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 20 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 55% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 27 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 24 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 22 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 21 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 20 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 18 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June | Jun 12 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 07 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 01 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +3% |