Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1dd9…cd04
sports · 21 markets active 3h ago
9.0score
+$67,353 +69%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51,869 · open +$15,484
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$29,958
Realized+$51,869
Unrealized+$15,484
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses13 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$592
Open positions2
Markets (closed)19 / 21
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4,631
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 2 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48,204
7 days+$48,882
14 days+$51,869
30 days+$51,869
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $13,769 $29,282 +$15,513 (+113%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $705 $676 −$29 (-4%)
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Yes 32¢ $5,810 $0 −$5,810 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 41¢ $7,682 $0 −$7,682 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 63¢ $3,648 $0 −$3,648 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz NC Dinos 53¢ $2,651 $0 −$2,651 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4,902 +$6,799 +139%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $4,701 +$11,734 +250%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $9,919 +$10,855 +109%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2,934 +$2,863 +98%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $2,452 +$2,496 +102%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7,350 +$11,639 +158%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $2,689 −$2,651 -99%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $3,689 −$3,648 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $7,818 −$7,682 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Colo Jun 11 $1,982 +$2,102 +106%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $13,422 +$5,601 +42%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -5%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 11 $2,218 +$5,271 +238%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3,419 +$2,826 +83%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $4,927 +$6,488 +132%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 09 $5,929 −$5,810 -98%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $1,372 +$814 +59%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Jun 03 $2,309 +$2,326 +101%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 03 $490 −$152 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 65% +$63,368
sports 35% +$3,985
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2,451 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $4,900 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $6,637 3h
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 42¢ $980 10h
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $963 10h
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $997 10h
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $965 10h
Will Dundalk FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 42¢ $997 10h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $4,701 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $4,899 10h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $5,797 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $5,020 10h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $477 14h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $491 14h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $491 14h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $491 14h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $491 14h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $492 14h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 54¢ $489 23h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 54¢ $731 23h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 53¢ $491 23h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 53¢ $487 23h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY NC Dinos 52¢ $491 23h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 63¢ $1,239 23h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 63¢ $1,225 23h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 63¢ $1,225 23h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 49¢ $2,452 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $7,350 28h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $7,818 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $19,023 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+46.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +65.6% +49.8% 69% 69% +47.2%
≤30d 19 +62.0% +46.6% 68% 68% +47.6%
≤90d 19 +62.0% +46.6% 68% 68% +47.6%
all 19 +62.0% +46.6% 68% 68% +47.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +46.6% 68% +47.6%
10% ← realistic here +32.6% 68% +33.4%
15% +19.8% 68% +20.6%
20% +8.0% 63% +8.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29,957.68 · official $29,957.68 (match) · 68 history records