Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:56:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1dc8…0960
crypto · 753 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,798 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,794 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,794
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses200 / 649
Open positions1
Markets (closed)849 / 753
History coverage53d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day65.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 849 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,009
7 days−$2,525
14 days−$2,527
30 days−$2,541
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-88%)
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2? Jun 13 $292 −$292 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 4? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? Jun 13 $6 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 21? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on April 3? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 10? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 30? Jun 13 $0 −$14 -58040%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 15? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,260
other 2% +$56
finance 1% +$246
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $31 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 371 -44.2% -49.5% 22% 20% -30.9%
≤30d 399 -45.3% -50.5% 21% 20% -31.0%
≤90d 849 -27.6% -34.5% 24% 22% -29.0%
all 849 -27.6% -34.5% 24% 22% -29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.5% 22% -29.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.7% 20% -35.8%
15% -46.5% 19% -42.0%
20% -51.7% 16% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.50 · official $3.50 · 3500 history records