Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1db4…c83a
crypto · 141 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$162 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses72 / 69
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 141
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day350.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$162
7 days−$162
14 days−$162
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$11 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$22 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $96 −$89 -93%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -35%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$159
politics 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $64 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 25% -14.7%
≤30d 141 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 25% -14.7%
≤90d 141 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 25% -14.7%
all 141 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 25% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover350.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 25% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 13% -22.8%
15% -34.1% 10% -30.3%
20% -40.5% 6% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 701 history records