Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1da4…c856
crypto · 59 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$164 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized−$159
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses20 / 36
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)56 / 59
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day104.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$159
7 days−$159
14 days−$159
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$13 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$10 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$9 +22%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $152 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$25 -79%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$60 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$2 +6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $100 −$8 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $92 −$31 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$146
other 47% −$13
sports 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $41 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $11 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $25 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $22 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $25 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $32 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-43.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -37.3% -43.3% 36% 32% -23.3%
≤30d 56 -37.3% -43.3% 36% 32% -23.3%
≤90d 56 -37.3% -43.3% 36% 32% -23.3%
all 56 -37.3% -43.3% 36% 32% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.3% 32% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -48.7% 18% -30.6%
15% -53.7% 9% -37.3%
20% -58.2% 4% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.97 · official $79.97 (match) · 200 history records