Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:30:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d99…29e2
crypto · 1168 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,411 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,411 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,411
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1110 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1207 / 1168
History coverage103d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,352
7 days−$1,365
14 days−$1,403
30 days−$1,441
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Opendoor reach $7.50 in January? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,030
other 1% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -45.5% -50.7% 52% 5% -79.6%
≤30d 122 -35.3% -41.5% 61% 7% -58.1%
≤90d 977 -5.6% -14.6% 92% 3% -13.0%
all 1207 -4.8% -13.9% 92% 4% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 4% -11.6%
10% -22.1% 1% -20.1%
15% -29.6% 1% -27.8%
20% -36.5% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records