Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d99…b04c
crypto · 745 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$266 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$251
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses307 / 438
Open positions1
Markets (closed)745 / 745
History coverage3d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day889.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 745 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$258
7 days−$251
14 days−$251
30 days−$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 98¢ $25 $49 +$24 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 60¢ 2¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$25 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$30 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$50 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$20 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$19 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$12 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$13 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$48 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$51 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$42 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$20 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$19 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$14 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$22 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$17 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $15 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 745 -4.1% -13.3% 41% 33% -10.5%
≤30d 745 -4.1% -13.3% 41% 33% -10.5%
≤90d 745 -4.1% -13.3% 41% 33% -10.5%
all 745 -4.1% -13.3% 41% 33% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover889.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 33% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 26% -19.0%
15% -29.1% 21% -26.9%
20% -36.1% 17% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.13 · official $47.88 · 3500 history records