Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:43:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d94…aef5
crypto · 1471 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses924 / 547
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1471 / 1471
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day152.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$68
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 570 +3.9% -6.0% 62% 59% -11.7%
≤30d 1471 +6.0% -4.1% 63% 58% -9.8%
≤90d 1471 +6.0% -4.1% 63% 58% -9.8%
all 1471 +6.0% -4.1% 63% 58% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 58% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 54% -18.5%
15% -21.7% 44% -26.3%
20% -29.3% 28% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records