Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T20:53:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1D 0x1d7e…3fd4 sports 405 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,359 (-2%) realized −$1,359 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate97%394W / 11L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$166per market
Trades / day28.7pace
Fees−$144est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days+$28
14 days+$315
30 days−$1,933
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,933
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 330 -0.4% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 405 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -12.1%
≤90d 405 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -12.1%
all 405 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -20.5%
15% -26.1% 0% -28.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 55% · top 2 73% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$394 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,359
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses394 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$144
Open positions0
Markets (closed)405 / 405
History coverage19d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 405 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emiliana Arango Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondar Jun 29 $495 −$495 -100%
Wimbledon WTA: Magda Linette vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 29 $165 +$2 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Federico Agustin Gomez Jun 29 $9 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 29 $264 +$3 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Jun 29 $495 +$5 +1%
ITF Amstelveen: Madelief Hageman vs Daniela Vismane Jun 29 $18 +$1 +3%
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Tatjana Maria Jun 29 $104 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 29 $8 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Jun 29 $10 $0 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Vukic vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Jun 29 $626 +$11 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Jaqueline Cristian vs Iva Jovic Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 29 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Alexis Nguyen vs Alyssa Ahn Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Rzeszow: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Alan Wazny Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $547 +$6 +1%
ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehberg Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Andrea De Marchi Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Bergamo: Federico Arnaboldi vs Giovanni Oradini Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Monastir: Karla Bartel vs Arina Arifullina Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Kamen: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Oleksii Krutykh Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Gdansk: Gina Feistel vs Anastasiya Sobolieva Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Nina Radovanovic Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Alkmaar: Lian Tran vs Isis Louise Van Den Broek Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Alkmaar: Charlotte Narti vs Margaux Maquet Jun 28 $10 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Mentality Monster - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $369 +$5 +1%
ITF Palma Del Rio: Elena Micic vs Ayla Aksu Jun 27 $9 +$1 +12%
ITF Claremont: Alyssa Ahn vs Midori Castillo Meza Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Alexandra Vagramov vs Alexis Nguyen Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry BUY Diane Parry 99¢ $495 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 99¢ $495 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $446 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $8 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $25 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $5 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $6 1h
Quito: Felipe Jose Rivadeneira vs Luis Carlos Alvarez BUY Luis Carlos Alvarez 99¢ $6 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 99¢ $13 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 99¢ $149 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 99¢ $333 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emiliana Arango BUY Anastasia Gasanova 99¢ $495 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Magda Linette vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 99¢ $495 1h
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler BUY McCartney Kessler 99¢ $480 3h
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler BUY McCartney Kessler 99¢ $5 3h
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler BUY McCartney Kessler 99¢ $10 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $33 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $3 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Shevchenko BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 99¢ $495 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $270 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $80 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $101 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $5 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic BUY Dino Prizmic 99¢ $2 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $110 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $10 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $25 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $5 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $11 3h
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan BUY Fabian Marozsan 99¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 945 history records