Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:30:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d57…8e0c
sports · 609 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$268 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$268 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$268
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses395 / 214
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions0
Markets (closed)609 / 609
History coverage36d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day78.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 609 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$88
14 days−$129
30 days−$366
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Greet Minnen 58¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? No 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Foggia: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucia Bronzetti Giorgia Pedone 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $78 −$4 -5%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $30 $0 -1%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $30 −$10 -33%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $121 −$7 -6%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $66 −$1 -2%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $6 +$1 +21%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $14 −$3 -19%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $35 $0 -1%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $7 −$2 -30%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $46 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $40 $0 -0%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 13 $12 +$3 +23%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $68 −$3 -4%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 $0 -1%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $31 −$6 -18%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $11 −$1 -7%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $25 +$5 +21%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $27 $0 -0%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $71 −$1 -1%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $45 −$5 -10%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $120 −$1 -1%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $80 −$5 -6%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $46 −$6 -13%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 11 $62 −$4 -6%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $33 +$2 +5%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 11 $39 −$7 -17%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 11 $54 +$1 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $27 −$8 -29%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $116 −$1 -1%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $93 −$4 -5%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Mboko/Williams Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $98 −$1 -1%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $69 −$4 -6%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $68 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $14 $0 +2%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $66 −$1 -2%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 10 $11 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$161
other 9% −$107
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Enrico Dalla Valle 10¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 65¢ $7 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 65¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 36¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 38¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 43¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 61¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 63¢ $6 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 68¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 32¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 38¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 39¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 41¢ $2 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 71¢ $4 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 75¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 59¢ $3 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 85¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 60¢ $5 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 33¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 33¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 35¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 36¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 37¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 31¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 16¢ $0 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 67¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 67¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 67¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 72¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 80¢ $12 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -4.4% -13.5% 22% 4% -12.5%
≤30d 339 -19.6% -27.2% 38% 11% -15.1%
≤90d 609 -8.8% -17.5% 65% 8% -12.3%
all 609 -8.8% -17.5% 65% 8% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 8% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 6% -20.7%
15% -32.6% 4% -28.4%
20% -39.2% 3% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records