Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d50…d283
sports · 595 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,092 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open +$66
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,976
Realized−$205
Unrealized+$66
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses199 / 231
Est. fees paid−$159
Open positions213
Markets (closed)430 / 595
History coverage3d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day1012.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 213 History 430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$217
7 days−$205
14 days−$205
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $180 $181 +$1 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Over 91¢ 91¢ $180 $180 +$0 (+0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5 Over 98¢ 98¢ $180 $180 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $179 $179 +$0 (+0%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 72¢ 70¢ $180 $177 −$3 (-2%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 50¢ $144 $138 −$6 (-4%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5 Over 78¢ 78¢ $123 $124 +$1 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $119 $117 −$2 (-2%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Over 94¢ 94¢ $113 $112 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 76¢ 76¢ $108 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $102 $102 +$1 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $98 $99 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Iraq 40¢ 40¢ $97 $95 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 50¢ $91 $95 +$4 (+5%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $86 $85 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Curaçao 30¢ 28¢ $75 $71 −$4 (-6%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 99¢ $67 $66 −$0 (-0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Over 57¢ 58¢ $56 $58 +$1 (+3%)
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Argentina 43¢ 44¢ $55 $55 +$1 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $52 $52 −$1 (-1%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 91¢ 92¢ $49 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Japan (-1.5) Netherlands 90¢ 90¢ $48 $48 +$0 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $47 $47 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $46 $47 +$1 (+2%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 32¢ $47 $46 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $14 −$2 -16%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $47 +$6 +13%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 −$42 -82%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $356 +$57 +16%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $78 +$20 +25%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $18 −$9 -50%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $87 +$63 +73%
Türkiye leading at halftime? Jun 14 $41 −$24 -58%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $159 +$18 +11%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $221 −$97 -44%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 +$2 +28%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $79 −$50 -63%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $21 −$10 -47%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $4 +$4 +101%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $27 +$3 +13%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$28 +275%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 $0 -3%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $30 +$26 +87%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $17 −$6 -32%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 14 $13 −$7 -54%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $160 +$20 +12%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $213 +$52 +24%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $188 +$26 +14%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $4 +$2 +46%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 +$9 +325%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $7 +$18 +264%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $20 +$18 +88%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$676
other 22% +$536
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Japan (-1.5) BUY Netherlands 90¢ $7 1m
Germany leading at halftime? BUY No 17¢ $1 4m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 97¢ $8 7m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 97¢ $10 7m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 50¢ $4 7m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 11¢ $2 7m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $3 7m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 8m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $20 8m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Curaçao 80¢ $1 8m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 93¢ $5 9m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 91¢ $5 10m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 59¢ $3 12m
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $3 12m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 45¢ $3 14m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Under 42¢ $5 15m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 70¢ $1 16m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 50¢ $4 16m
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 70¢ $5 16m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $14 18m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 18m
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 90¢ $14 18m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 96¢ $5 19m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $15 20m
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $0 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 72¢ $7 21m
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $0 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $2 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $3 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $11 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -3.1% -12.4% 46% 36% -11.1%
≤30d 430 -3.1% -12.4% 46% 36% -11.1%
≤90d 430 -3.1% -12.4% 46% 36% -11.1%
all 430 -3.1% -12.4% 46% 36% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1012.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 36% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 30% -19.6%
15% -28.4% 22% -27.4%
20% -35.4% 18% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,975.91 · official $4,975.31 (match) · 3500 history records