trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 40% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 36% | 7% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 36% | 7% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -6.6% | -15.5% | 54% | 4% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.5% | 4% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -23.6% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -31.0% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -37.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $49 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $27 | +$2 | +8% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $80 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 11 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 08 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $46 | −$4 | -8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025? | Apr 02 | $2 | −$2 | -92% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 20 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025? | Mar 03 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 27 | $7 | $0 | +2% |