trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 31 | +11.8% | +1.2% | 97% | 3% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.2% | 3% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -8.5% | 3% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -17.3% | 3% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -25.4% | 3% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $203 | $203 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44 | $44 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $248 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6? | Jun 07 | $248 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in May? | Jun 01 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in May? | Jun 01 | $220 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 20 | $224 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $237 | $0 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 07 | $237 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 27 | $236 | +$1 | +1% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $235 | +$1 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Apr 16 | $235 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 12 | $234 | $0 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 08 | $233 | +$1 | +0% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 31 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 25? | Mar 26 | $233 | $0 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Mar 12 | $1,084 | +$1 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Mar 09 | $1,073 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6? | Mar 07 | $1,072 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 4? | Mar 05 | $1,071 | +$1 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Feb 28 | $1,060 | +$11 | +1% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $1.50? | Feb 21 | $1,059 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 19 | $25 | +$113 | +456% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 10 | $945 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Aca | Jan 27 | $943 | +$1 | +0% |
| Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Jan 18 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 12 above $155? | Jan 17 | $987 | +$1 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $196 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $456 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $260 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 01 | $65 | $0 | +0% |