Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d3b…583b
sports · 1938 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,157 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,197 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$458
Realized+$1,197
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses861 / 708
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$396
Open positions69
Markets (closed)1569 / 1938
History coverage12d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day210.2
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 69 History 1569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days+$42
14 days+$1,197
30 days+$1,197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 74¢ $35 $43 +$8 (+23%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $15 $22 +$7 (+48%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Scotland 18¢ 14¢ $25 $20 −$5 (-19%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 54¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+113%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 37¢ 38¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Türkiye leading at halftime? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 52¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 69¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 62¢ 58¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 30¢ 44¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Knicks 46¢ 67¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Las Vegas Aces 76¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+31%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 27¢ 32¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 54¢ 62¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 37¢ 42¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 Over 34¢ 38¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Knicks 28¢ 30¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: UD Almería O/U 1.5 Over 33¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 31¢ 32¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1776%
Montedio Yamagata vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $4 −$4 -92%
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Jun 14 $168 −$182 -109%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tochigi SC vs. AC Nagano Parceiro end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$4 -191%
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bengaluru 3: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Yusuke Takahashi Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
IR Iran vs. Gambia: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Blaublitz Akita win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $2 −$3 -173%
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Jun 14 $2 −$3 -201%
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
COD Meknès vs. Olympic Dcheira: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $2 −$7 -308%
CD Cobresal vs. CD Ñublense: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $0 −$3 -2252%
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia vs. Kosovo end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$3 -382%
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions Jun 14 $1 −$4 -470%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 14 $0 −$3 -618%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-29? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 −$2 -233%
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? Jun 14 $0 −$2 -943%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% +$1,338
other 26% +$718
crypto 0% +$12
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 52¢ $5 3m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 34¢ $5 12m
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 71¢ $5 12m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $5 12m
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Knicks 28¢ $5 12m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 62¢ $10 12m
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 60¢ $5 20m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Knicks 69¢ $5 41m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 89¢ $5 52m
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) BUY Spurs 57¢ $5 52m
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 46¢ $5 1h
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 59¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 SELL Over 33¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 48¢ $5 1h
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) BUY Knicks 24¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 17¢ $20 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1h
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 69¢ $10 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $5 1h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 27¢ $5 1h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 76¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Scotland 22¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 75¢ $10 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 62¢ $5 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 48¢ $5 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 2h
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1032 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 45% -9.0%
≤30d 1569 +2.8% -7.0% 55% 48% -7.4%
≤90d 1569 +2.8% -7.0% 55% 48% -7.4%
all 1569 +2.8% -7.0% 55% 48% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover210.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 48% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 41% -16.3%
15% -24.0% 36% -24.3%
20% -31.5% 29% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $457.71 · official $456.40 (match) · 3500 history records