trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +469.3% | +415.1% | 50% | 50% | -12.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +150.9% | +127.0% | 45% | 36% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +61.0% | +45.6% | 35% | 30% | -12.3% |
| all | 20 | +61.0% | +45.6% | 35% | 30% | -12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.6% | 30% | -12.3% |
| 10% | +31.7% | 20% | -20.7% |
| 15% | +19.0% | 20% | -28.4% |
| 20% | +7.3% | 20% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 36¢ | 25¢ | $1,934 | $1,340 | −$594 (-31%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $21 | −$8 | -36% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $201 | +$27 | +14% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,175 | +$20 | +2% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $107 | −$82 | -76% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $649 | +$21 | +3% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $440 | −$323 | -73% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $5,661 | +$4,101 | +72% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $6,514 | −$3,854 | -59% |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | Mar 28 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeti | Mar 28 | $190 | −$190 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Mar 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Mar 28 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Mar 28 | $4 | +$2 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Mar 28 | $1 | +$2 | +205% |