Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d2d…89c0
crypto · 606 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$821 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$825 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized−$825
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses324 / 527
Open positions1
Markets (closed)851 / 606
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1549.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 851 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$825
7 days−$825
14 days−$825
30 days−$825
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 0¢ 68¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 851 -28.4% -35.2% 38% 27% -17.1%
≤30d 851 -28.4% -35.2% 38% 27% -17.1%
≤90d 851 -28.4% -35.2% 38% 27% -17.1%
all 851 -28.4% -35.2% 38% 27% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1549.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.2% 27% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -41.4% 17% -25.0%
15% -47.1% 8% -32.3%
20% -52.3% 4% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.38 · official $3.38 (match) · 3500 history records