Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:59:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d27…e38d
crypto · 1194 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$685 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$685 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$685
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses808 / 386
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1194 / 1194
History coverage162d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$9
14 days−$13
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$685
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 472 -3.1% -12.3% 62% 61% -11.2%
≤30d 720 -3.6% -12.8% 63% 61% -12.3%
≤90d 726 -3.8% -13.0% 63% 61% -13.5%
all 1194 -2.7% -11.9% 68% 66% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 66% -11.1%
10% -20.4% 54% -19.6%
15% -28.1% 33% -27.4%
20% -35.1% 14% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records