Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:24:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d1a…0df6
sports · 318 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
−$124,690 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124,690 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,554
7 days+$60,929
14 days+$154,478
30 days−$660,546
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 Under 50¢ $6,000 $0 −$6,000 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 51¢ $45,900 $0 −$45,900 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 42¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ $73,894 $0 −$73,894 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 64¢ $35,197 $0 −$35,197 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 68¢ $99,568 $0 −$99,568 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 57¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 69¢ $7,082 $0 −$7,082 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Atlanta Braves 39¢ $1,002 $0 −$1,002 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 51¢ $26,502 $0 −$26,502 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 44¢ $22,425 $0 −$22,425 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $3,454 +$3,361 +97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $800 −$800 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $62,667 +$46,843 +75%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $62,100 +$57,900 +93%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $12,700 +$8,975 +71%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $9,800 +$10,200 +104%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 08 $9,800 +$10,200 +104%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 08 $31,000 +$19,000 +61%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $100,524 −$99,568 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 06 $5,175 +$4,825 +93%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Jun 04 $1,002 −$1,002 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $7,099 −$7,082 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 04 $26,836 −$26,502 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $35,577 −$35,197 -99%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $26,905 +$19,695 +73%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 03 $106,474 +$47,369 +44%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $72,169 +$52,831 +73%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Jun 01 $12,516 +$12,984 +104%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 01 $25,307 +$20,093 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $59,221 +$42,287 +71%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 May 31 $137 +$156 +114%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 May 31 $369 +$293 +79%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $27,268 +$22,942 +84%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 May 30 $6,000 −$6,000 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $4,930 +$12,070 +245%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $74,822 −$73,894 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $25,084 +$19,916 +79%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians May 30 $17,577 +$14,973 +85%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) May 29 $22,804 −$22,425 -98%
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) May 29 $48 +$43 +90%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 29 $11,718 +$9,982 +85%
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5 May 28 $4,135 +$3,870 +94%
Avalanche vs. Stars May 27 $3,754 −$3,754 -100%
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5) May 27 $3,951 −$3,951 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians May 27 $6,356 −$6,356 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12? May 27 $1,029 −$1,029 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini May 27 $2,415 −$2,415 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) May 27 $2,042 −$2,042 -100%
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5 May 27 $10,404 −$10,404 -100%
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteaters May 27 $1,850 −$1,850 -100%
Mohamed Salah: Anytime Goalscorer May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5) May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Troy Trojans (-5.5) May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-6.5) May 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-10.5) May 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 May 27 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5) May 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-4.5) May 27 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$98,979
other 2% −$25,526
culture 0% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $35 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $128 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $128 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $128 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $127 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $128 8h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 16¢ $128 8h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $2 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $1 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $174 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $2 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $2 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $100 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $20 11h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) BUY Chicago Sky 50¢ $3,153 11h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 57¢ $3 34h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 57¢ $4 34h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $62,100 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 58¢ $5,858 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 57¢ $11,206 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 57¢ $18,897 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 56¢ $18,017 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 55¢ $8,689 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $112 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $7 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $2 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $3 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $12 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $15 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 58¢ $7 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +36.2% +23.3% 73% 73% +9.0%
≤30d 199 -57.6% -61.6% 23% 23% -36.7%
≤90d 278 -19.9% -27.5% 42% 42% -18.2%
all 318 -4.9% -13.9% 49% 49% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 49% -13.5%
10% -22.2% 49% -21.8%
15% ← realistic here -29.7% 48% -29.3%
20% -36.6% 47% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records