Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1D
0x1d16…212e
sports · 242 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$34,554 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$33,604 · open +$950
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,370
Realized+$33,604
Unrealized+$950
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses126 / 113
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$3,772
Open positions3
Markets (closed)239 / 242
History coverage24d
Avg bet$1,093
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,988
7 days+$10,298
14 days+$20,915
30 days+$33,604
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ 100¢ $1,973 $3,651 +$1,678 (+85%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 59¢ 100¢ $1,013 $1,717 +$704 (+69%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 43¢ 0¢ $1,433 $2 −$1,432 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 47¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 28¢ 0¢ $501 $0 −$501 (-100%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $2,337 $0 −$2,337 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 61¢ 0¢ $1,477 $0 −$1,477 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 35¢ 0¢ $995 $0 −$995 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 70¢ 0¢ $494 $0 −$494 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 42¢ 0¢ $476 $0 −$476 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 45¢ 0¢ $1,016 $0 −$1,016 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 55¢ 0¢ $1,293 $0 −$1,293 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 49¢ 0¢ $1,017 $0 −$1,017 (-100%)
Spread: England (-2.5) Costa Rica 42¢ 0¢ $1,012 $0 −$1,012 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 44¢ 0¢ $1,470 $0 −$1,470 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 40¢ 0¢ $1,572 $0 −$1,572 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Serbia 42¢ 0¢ $505 $0 −$505 (-100%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Athletics 35¢ 0¢ $461 $0 −$461 (-100%)
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $608 $0 −$608 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 68¢ 0¢ $481 $0 −$481 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 50¢ 0¢ $1,015 $0 −$1,015 (-100%)
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions Zhejiang Lions 35¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $1,029 $0 −$1,029 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,504 +$1,575 +105%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,000 +$1,917 +96%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2,988 +$2,227 +75%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $451 −$442 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1,048 −$1,024 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,878 +$1,571 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,657 +$1,196 +72%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,320 +$360 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,033 −$1,017 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,390 −$1,388 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,584 −$1,572 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1,031 +$1,175 +114%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $1,076 −$1,058 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $999 +$1,221 +122%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $1,024 −$1,012 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $2,539 +$2,670 +105%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $561 +$590 +105%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1,034 −$1,017 -98%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $2,499 +$1,608 +64%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1,250 +$1,250 +100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $2,030 −$2,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $970 +$1,060 +109%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $650 +$599 +92%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2,376 −$2,337 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $896 −$896 -100%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $3,295 +$3,599 +109%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1,028 +$1,000 +97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $969 +$295 +30%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $1,033 −$1,016 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,033 +$1,131 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 09 $969 +$903 +93%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $1,081 +$919 +85%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 08 $646 −$635 -98%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $799 −$797 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $804 −$801 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $510 −$505 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $1,121 −$1,114 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,637 −$1,603 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,500 +$2,584 +172%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,279 −$2,247 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,534 −$1,507 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,498 +$339 +23%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,695 −$1,667 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,076 −$2,071 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,001 −$995 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $2,799 −$2,753 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,378 +$1,431 +104%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $987 +$390 +40%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $511 −$501 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,139 +$1,257 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$32,228
other 5% +$2,833
world 0% −$507
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $1,458 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,958 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $6 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $1,994 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $2,000 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 58¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $938 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 59¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $494 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $1,010 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $35 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $10 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $289 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $47 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $104 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +0.3% -9.2% 52% 52% -0.8%
≤30d 239 +4.3% -5.6% 53% 52% +2.2%
≤90d 239 +4.3% -5.6% 53% 52% +2.2%
all 239 +4.3% -5.6% 53% 52% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 52% +2.2%
10% -14.6% 51% -7.6%
15% ← realistic here -22.9% 49% -16.5%
20% -30.4% 44% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,369.66 · official $5,369.66 (match) · 1146 history records