trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 47% | 40% | -16.3% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 55% | 35% | -14.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 55% | 35% | -14.0% |
| all | 20 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 55% | 35% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 35% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 20% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 20% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 10% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 87¢ | 86¢ | $211 | $207 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Argentina | 69¢ | 68¢ | $83 | $83 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $36 | +$34 | +97% |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5 | Jun 26 | $223 | −$81 | -36% |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $40 | +$17 | +41% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $30 | +$6 | +20% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 | Jun 25 | $20 | −$5 | -25% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $75 | +$12 | +16% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $51 | −$10 | -19% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 23 | $79 | −$24 | -30% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 23 | $94 | −$37 | -40% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 0.5 | Jun 23 | $18 | +$11 | +61% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $183 | −$14 | -8% |
| France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $63 | +$14 | +22% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $179 | +$17 | +9% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $132 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Jun 02 | $81 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $73 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $11 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $7 | −$1 | -10% |