Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:43:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cfd…6000
crypto · 330 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$675 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$670 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$988
Realized+$670
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses180 / 149
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)329 / 330
History coverage87d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$178
7 days−$178
14 days−$178
30 days−$178
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $982 $988 +$6 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 82¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $188 $0 −$188 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $169 −$168 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $99 +$70 +70%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $81 −$80 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 09 $175 −$80 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $64 −$63 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 09 $50 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 09 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 09 $125 −$78 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 09 $12 −$11 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 09 $25 +$18 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 09 $17 +$19 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 09 $11 −$6 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 09 $54 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 09 $80 −$27 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 03 $51 −$31 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 03 $123 −$90 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 03 $618 −$300 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 03 $20 +$22 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 03 $205 +$93 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 03 $27 −$8 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 03 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 03 $177 +$50 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 03 $133 +$43 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 02 $129 −$50 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 02 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 02 $98 −$47 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 02 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 02 $107 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 02 $67 −$22 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 02 $46 +$35 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 02 $51 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 02 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 02 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 02 $51 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 02 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 02 $26 +$17 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 02 $56 −$18 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 02 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 02 $25 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 02 $20 +$17 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 02 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 02 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 01 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 01 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 01 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 01 $14 +$7 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 01 $9 −$4 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$882
other 3% −$57
sports 1% −$150
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $82 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $905 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 82¢ $169 9h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $99 13h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $81 25h
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? BUY Yes 69¢ $64 34d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL HANJIN BRION 99¢ $63 34d
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY HANJIN BRION 78¢ $50 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $3 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $44 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $44 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $82 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $43 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $25 34d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 34d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $17 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $6 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $62 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $54 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $53 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $80 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $17 41d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -43.2% -48.6% 33% 33% -56.0%
≤30d 3 -43.2% -48.6% 33% 33% -56.0%
≤90d 329 +0.8% -8.8% 55% 44% -7.1%
all 329 +0.8% -8.8% 55% 44% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 44% -7.1%
10% -17.5% 38% -16.0%
15% -25.5% 30% -24.1%
20% -32.8% 22% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $987.94 · official $988.06 (match) · 896 history records