Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T20:33:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1C 0x1cf1…7370 crypto 45 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$6 (+2%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate53%24W / 21L
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day60.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +17.6% +6.4% 53% 49% +20.2%
≤30d 45 +17.6% +6.4% 53% 49% +20.2%
≤90d 45 +17.6% +6.4% 53% 49% +20.2%
all 45 +17.6% +6.4% 53% 49% +20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.4% 49% +20.2%
10% ← realistic here -3.7% 40% +8.7%
15% -13.0% 31% -1.8%
20% -21.6% 24% -11.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 44% · top 2 52% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +33% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt +33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$4 · ×1.75 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.0 per $1 lost it wins $2.0
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses24 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 45 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$80 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$8 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$15 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $15 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 125 history records