Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cc7…43e5
sports · 248 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$303 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$281 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$281
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses79 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$387
Open positions2
Markets (closed)246 / 248
History coverage78d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day34.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$477
14 days−$624
30 days−$4,134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-87%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 13¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? No 8¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 6¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season BESTIA 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
France vs. Ireland: O/U 2.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 3¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Young Ninjas 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner FlyQuest 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? No 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Global Esports 16¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
England vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner Eternal Fire 21¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $166 +$51 +31%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $183 +$74 +40%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $121 −$40 -33%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $54 −$21 -39%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $97 −$30 -31%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $44 +$5 +10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $46 −$20 -44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $202 −$1 -0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Outlast (BO1) - North America League Jun 11 $25 +$6 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 +$6 +31%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $204 −$47 -23%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $574 +$26 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $208 −$4 -2%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $9 −$1 -12%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $50 +$12 +25%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $11 −$7 -67%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 −$3 -73%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $20 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $30 −$26 -85%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $365 −$5 -1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $29 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $82 −$33 -41%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Xavi Palomar Jun 10 $0 $0 +11%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $437 +$94 +22%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $65 −$24 -36%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $7 +$3 +36%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Matyas Kozlovsky Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $23 −$20 -89%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $12 +$4 +37%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $227 −$29 -13%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Fadi Bidan vs Vito Dell'elba Jun 10 $5 +$2 +41%
ITF Monastir: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Filippo Francesco Garbero Jun 10 $8 +$2 +20%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $10 +$2 +15%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $15 −$12 -84%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $170 +$28 +16%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $292 +$38 +13%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $730 +$22 +3%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $41 −$4 -10%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $284 −$29 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$257
other 20% +$131
crypto 1% −$161
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 41¢ $59 1m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 36¢ $10 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 36¢ $10 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $6 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 29¢ $10 2m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $10 2m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $47 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $50 5m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 33¢ $30 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 33¢ $12 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $25 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 20¢ $9 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 22¢ $25 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $10 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $4 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 31¢ $5 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 31¢ $13 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 31¢ $5 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 31¢ $2 16m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $11 16m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 5¢ $15 25m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 76¢ $10 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $10 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 24¢ $2 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 24¢ $10 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 21¢ $9 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 20¢ $10 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 21¢ $1 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 20¢ $10 27m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 20¢ $10 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -19.4% -27.0% 37% 22% -13.8%
≤30d 213 -33.3% -39.7% 28% 19% -38.3%
≤90d 246 -13.8% -22.0% 32% 24% -10.0%
all 246 -13.8% -22.0% 32% 24% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 24% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 17% -18.6%
15% -36.3% 15% -26.4%
20% -42.5% 12% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.37 · official $0.37 (match) · 2782 history records