Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:39:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cc6…349f
crypto · 266 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses201 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage40d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$15
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $15 +$4 +28%
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31? Jun 01 $40 +$6 +15%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 19 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$27
world 11% +$1
other 4% −$23
politics 2% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +1.1% -8.5% 74% 30% -8.0%
≤30d 92 -11.7% -20.1% 65% 26% -15.7%
≤90d 266 -4.5% -13.6% 76% 29% -12.4%
all 266 -4.5% -13.6% 76% 29% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.6% 29% -12.4%
10% -21.8% 12% -20.7%
15% -29.4% 4% -28.4%
20% -36.3% 2% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 723 history records