Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cc2…5254
other · 200 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses200 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 200
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 0 History 200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Serbia 2 - 0 Denmark? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will "Brian Ronan" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 20 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Mikal Bridges Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Timothy Sean Kelly advance from the CA-01 primary election? Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Caleb Norwood advance from the CA-27 primary election? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Dotsenko vs Thamm Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 New Zealand? Jun 03 $3 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Bertrand vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Masarova vs. Martincova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 1? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Will Erik Van Rooyen finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Charles Schwab C Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Hance vs. Salbiev: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
Keaton Hance vs. Marat Salbiev: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Club Universitario de Deportes 3 - 1 CS Huancayo? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 3 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ibrahim Mbaye be named the 2026 UEFA Champions League Final Man o May 31 $1 $0 +0%
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Concepción: O/U 4.5 May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5) May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Mboko vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5 May 30 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
T20 Blast: Kent vs Essex - Team Top Batter Essex Winner May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Fredrikstad FK 2 - 1 IK Start? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 29 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? May 24 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% +$3
sports 43% +$2
politics 2% $0
world 0% $0
crypto 1% $0
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 1h
Mathieu Choinière: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Derek Cornelius: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Serbia 2 - 0 Denmark? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 4d
Will "Brian Ronan" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony BUY No 98¢ $5 5d
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7d
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 20 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 99¢ $5 7d
Montreal Alouettes vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats BUY Montreal Alouettes 100¢ $5 7d
Mikal Bridges BUY Yes 99¢ $5 8d
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 8d
Will Caleb Norwood advance from the CA-27 primary election? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Will Timothy Sean Kelly advance from the CA-01 primary election? BUY No 99¢ $5 9d
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner BUY Beatriz Guerra 100¢ $5 9d
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? BUY Odd 100¢ $5 9d
Set 1 Winner: Dotsenko vs Thamm BUY Dotsenko 99¢ $5 9d
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 New Zealand? BUY No 100¢ $3 10d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Guatemala? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Bertrand vs. Zahraj: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 10d
Masarova vs. Martincova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 68 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 200 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -9.1%
all 200 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 1% -9.1%
10% -17.7% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 401 history records