Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cc1…887f
other · 1609 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$38 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1602 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1606 / 1609
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 3 History 1606 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$5
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Yunus Akgün: 4+ shots No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) Virtus.pro 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
First Blood in Game 3? Gen.G 100¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Connor Metcalfe: 2+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Harry Souttar: 1+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Deniz Gül: 4+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 2+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
İsmail Yüksek: 2+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Alexander Blockx vs Francisco Cer Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Adam Sandler attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Harry Souttar: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lewis Ferguson: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will any player score 60+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Final Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ben Gannon-Doak: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ché Adams: 1+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lyndon Dykes: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
John McGinn: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ruben Providence: 2+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Wilson Isidor: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lawrence Shankland: 2+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
MLP Austin: Atlanta Bouncers vs Florida Smash Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Éderson: 3+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Rayan: 2+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Granit Xhaka: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ardon Jashari: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Fabian Rieder: 2+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Remo Freuler: 5+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Carnicella vs. Ekstrand: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ahmed Fathi: 1+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Akram Afif: 2+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Almoez Ali: 1+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Denis Zakaria: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ayoub Mohamed: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Fabian Rieder: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-12.5) vs Bebop (+12.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$10
sports 47% +$13
world 1% +$2
politics 1% $0
finance 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
weather 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
First Blood in Game 3? BUY Gen.G 100¢ $5 5m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-6.5) vs Virtus.pro (+6.5) BUY Virtus.pro 100¢ $5 42m
Connor Metcalfe: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shots on target BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Harry Souttar: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Deniz Gül: 4+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Yunus Akgün: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
İsmail Yüksek: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Completed Match: Alexander Blockx vs Francisco Cer BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Kenan Yıldız: 3+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 3h
Harry Souttar: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Adam Sandler attend Game 5 of the NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $5 3h
Lewis Ferguson: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Ben Gannon-Doak: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Ché Adams: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 4h
Lyndon Dykes: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 5h
John McGinn: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 5h
Will any player score 60+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Final BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Ruben Providence: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Wilson Isidor: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Lawrence Shankland: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 925 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 1606 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.2%
all 1606 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.2%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.84 · official $14.85 (match) · 3500 history records