Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cb0…d64d
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$65 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized+$66
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses36 / 26
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)62 / 64
History coverage98d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$42
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$42 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$49 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $73 +$86 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$31 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$48 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 08 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 05 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 05 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 05 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Apr 01 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 01 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 01 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 01 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 01 $1 +$1 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Mar 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Mar 28 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Mar 28 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Mar 28 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Mar 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Mar 28 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Mar 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Mar 28 $4 +$6 +144%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Mar 28 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 22 $3 +$3 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Mar 21 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Mar 21 $5 +$5 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$62
sports 6% +$5
other 5% $0
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -3.1%
≤30d 27 +2.5% -7.3% 52% 52% -3.5%
≤90d 54 +6.2% -3.9% 56% 54% -3.9%
all 62 +7.0% -3.2% 58% 55% -2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.2% 55% -2.6%
10% -12.5% 48% -12.0%
15% -20.9% 42% -20.5%
20% -28.7% 37% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.61 · official $98.61 (match) · 142 history records