Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1cac…98f0
crypto · 62 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$237 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$246 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$491
Realized+$246
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses30 / 26
Open positions6
Markets (closed)56 / 62
History coverage63d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 6 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 40¢ 48¢ $50 $59 +$9 (+19%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 40¢ 26¢ $50 $33 −$17 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $106 +$99 +93%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $105 −$65 -61%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $104 +$4 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $99 +$23 +23%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $53 −$9 -17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $105 +$38 +36%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7? Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $100 +$81 +81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6? May 06 $101 +$14 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? May 06 $51 −$41 -81%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5? May 05 $101 +$9 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5? May 05 $101 +$15 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24? May 04 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 23? May 04 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27? May 04 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? May 04 $53 −$35 -66%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4? May 04 $51 +$8 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? May 04 $101 +$15 +15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28? Apr 28 $50 −$24 -48%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? Apr 24 $50 +$19 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 23? Apr 23 $50 +$9 +18%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 23 $50 −$3 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23? Apr 23 $50 −$30 -61%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 23? Apr 23 $100 +$21 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $50 +$6 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $45 +$20 +44%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22? Apr 22 $50 +$28 +57%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $100 +$9 +9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $50 −$1 -3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $50 +$1 +2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $20 −$2 -10%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $50 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Apr 22 $100 −$58 -58%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 21? Apr 21 $50 +$16 +33%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 21? Apr 21 $50 +$35 +70%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18? Apr 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? Apr 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20? Apr 20 $100 +$30 +30%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 20? Apr 20 $100 +$31 +31%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 19? Apr 18 $50 −$36 -72%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18? Apr 17 $50 −$15 -29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? Apr 17 $70 +$66 +95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? Apr 17 $120 +$238 +198%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16? Apr 16 $100 +$40 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? Apr 16 $250 +$43 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? Apr 16 $100 −$14 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14? Apr 14 $50 +$16 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? Apr 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? Apr 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$35
other 25% +$139
politics 9% +$68
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $105 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $106 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 23¢ $41 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $105 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $106 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $105 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $108 28h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 100¢ $122 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $104 28h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 74¢ $99 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 17¢ $44 28h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 18¢ $53 28h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $105 39h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $105 40h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 97¢ $181 40h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7? BUY Yes 60¢ $103 37d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7? BUY Yes 86¢ $101 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? SELL Yes 15¢ $10 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? BUY Yes 72¢ $51 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6? BUY Yes 87¢ $101 38d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 5? BUY Yes 86¢ $101 39d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5? BUY Yes 91¢ $101 39d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? SELL Yes 9¢ $16 39d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4? BUY Yes 86¢ $51 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 27¢ $53 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 86¢ $101 40d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28? SELL Yes 47¢ $26 45d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28? BUY Yes 86¢ $50 46d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27? BUY Yes 78¢ $50 46d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24? SELL Yes 100¢ $69 49d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -4.6% -13.7% 56% 44% -13.0%
≤30d 9 -4.6% -13.7% 56% 44% -13.0%
≤90d 56 -5.0% -14.1% 54% 46% -4.0%
all 56 -5.0% -14.1% 54% 46% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 46% -4.0%
10% -22.3% 32% -13.2%
15% -29.8% 21% -21.5%
20% -36.7% 14% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $490.62 · official $490.64 (match) · 130 history records