Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:07:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1ca0…38ba
sports · 868 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$18,867 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,702 · open −$623
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$380
Realized+$14,702
Unrealized−$623
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses386 / 469
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$1,939
Open positions13
Markets (closed)855 / 868
History coverage93d
Avg bet$134
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 13 History 855 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,238
7 days−$258
14 days+$5,491
30 days−$759
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner RED Canids 35¢ 22¢ $251 $157 −$95 (-38%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs RED Canids 39¢ 22¢ $98 $54 −$44 (-45%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 39¢ 47¢ $40 $48 +$8 (+19%)
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring? Yes 17¢ 53¢ $10 $30 +$20 (+203%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Over 2¢ 4¢ $10 $21 +$11 (+112%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Over 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Over 42¢ 26¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-36%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Over 23¢ 14¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-41%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 8¢ 0¢ $125 $1 −$124 (-99%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 32¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 17¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner RED Canids 24¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 14 $255 −$255 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $399 −$399 -100%
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 14 $31 +$49 +161%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $69 +$181 +262%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $85 +$2 +2%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $112 +$174 +155%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $244 +$256 +105%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $72 −$72 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $251 +$352 +140%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $353 +$797 +226%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$242 +237%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$33 +164%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $132 +$76 +58%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $201 +$64 +32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1,004 +$165 +16%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $234 +$273 +117%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$25 +24%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $10 +$23 +224%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $505 +$25 +5%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $520 −$520 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$149 +147%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $202 −$202 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $862 −$862 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $121 +$235 +193%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $374 +$376 +101%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5) Jun 10 $563 −$324 -58%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $182 −$182 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $160 +$5 +3%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $460 +$520 +113%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $68 +$97 +144%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $185 +$315 +170%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $265 +$386 +146%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $143 −$143 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $101 +$34 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$12,606
other 1% +$1,497
crypto 0% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 10¢ $10 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 23¢ $10 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 42¢ $10 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 2¢ $10 15m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 14¢ $10 30m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 7¢ $1 31m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 7¢ $1 31m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 26¢ $10 39m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 32¢ $102 40m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 48¢ $112 51m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 48¢ $10 51m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 46¢ $10 51m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 39¢ $41 54m
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY RED Canids 39¢ $18 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY RED Canids 39¢ $78 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY RED Canids 39¢ $2 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY RED Canids 24¢ $61 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 5¢ $26 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 32¢ $163 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 31¢ $79 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Eintracht Spandau 17¢ $87 3h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 10¢ $103 3h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Eintracht Spandau 15¢ $8 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $69 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 43¢ $21 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 43¢ $30 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 43¢ $36 10h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 9¢ $32 11h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $31 11h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 28¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +6.4% -3.8% 46% 43% -11.1%
≤30d 296 +0.5% -9.1% 39% 38% -10.9%
≤90d 849 +12.2% +1.5% 45% 43% +1.9%
all 855 +12.8% +2.0% 45% 43% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.0% 43% +2.0%
10% ← realistic here -7.7% 41% -7.7%
15% -16.7% 38% -16.6%
20% -24.8% 36% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $379.96 · official $364.24 · 3500 history records