trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 38% | 0% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 38% | 0% | -8.2% |
| all | 31 | +6.5% | -3.7% | 39% | 10% | -6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.7% | 10% | -6.1% |
| 10% | -12.9% | 10% | -15.1% |
| 15% | -21.3% | 6% | -23.3% |
| 20% | -29.0% | 3% | -30.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 18 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $71 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 04 | $47 | +$5 | +10% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $143 | +$6 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $51 | −$3 | -5% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | Dec 30 | $32 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Dec 12 | $31 | −$3 | -10% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 12 | $21 | +$26 | +127% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 25 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? | Nov 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Patriots vs. Bengals | Nov 25 | $14 | +$4 | +30% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 24 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 23 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 20 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Nov 20 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 20 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 19 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 18 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | Nov 14 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 24 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Oct 24 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | Oct 05 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 08 | $33 | $0 | +0% |