Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:56:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c7e…3748
other · 70 markets active 1h ago
7.0score
+$1,254 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,266 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$908
Realized+$1,266
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses28 / 39
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)67 / 70
History coverage292d
Avg bet$169
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 3 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $400 $397 −$3 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $400 $397 −$3 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $120 $115 −$5 (-5%)
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21? No 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Indonesia win on 2025-09-08? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08? No 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
South Florida vs. Miami South Florida 14¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) LNG Esports 24¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Uruguay win on 2025-09-09? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $354 $0 −$354 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Mavericks 55¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $992 +$44 +4%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01? Jan 01 $49 −$49 -100%
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers Dec 30 $101 −$101 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22? Dec 22 $475 +$1,857 +391%
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Dec 22 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22? Dec 22 $511 −$13 -3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) Dec 22 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3) Dec 22 $312 +$208 +66%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21? Dec 21 $27 −$27 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21? Dec 21 $114 +$86 +75%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21? Dec 21 $164 +$117 +71%
Celtics vs. Raptors Dec 21 $92 +$37 +41%
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13? Dec 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13? Sep 13 $180 −$180 -100%
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13? Sep 13 $101 +$58 +57%
South Florida vs. Miami Sep 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Will Uruguay win on 2025-09-09? Sep 09 $512 −$364 -71%
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09? Sep 09 $625 +$263 +42%
Reds vs. Padres: O/U 7.5 Sep 09 $102 −$66 -65%
Cardinals vs. Mariners: O/U 7.5 Sep 09 $208 −$72 -35%
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-08? Sep 08 $310 +$63 +20%
Will New Zealand win on 2025-09-05? Sep 08 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06? Sep 08 $208 −$12 -6%
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIA Sep 08 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Japan win on 2025-09-06? Sep 08 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06? Sep 08 $96 −$96 -100%
Will Kenya win on 2025-09-05? Sep 08 $151 −$151 -100%
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08? Sep 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08? Sep 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Will United Arab Emirates win on 2025-09-08? Sep 08 $241 +$180 +75%
Will Indonesia win on 2025-09-08? Sep 08 $90 −$89 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07? Sep 07 $409 +$322 +79%
Will Comoros win on 2025-09-07? Sep 07 $10 +$8 +78%
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-06? Sep 06 $179 +$20 +11%
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06? Sep 06 $134 +$45 +33%
Will France win on 2025-09-05? Sep 06 $271 +$50 +18%
Will Gambia win on 2025-09-05? Sep 05 $54 −$15 -27%
Will Australia win on 2025-09-05? Sep 05 $126 −$22 -18%
Will Brighton vs. Manchester City end in a draw? Sep 05 $54 −$54 -100%
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas Sep 05 $262 −$202 -77%
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? Sep 05 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25? Sep 05 $26 −$14 -54%
Phillies vs. Brewers Sep 05 $80 −$80 -100%
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-26? Sep 05 $55 −$55 -100%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? Sep 05 $101 −$101 -100%
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Anyone's Legend Sep 05 $199 −$199 -100%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? Sep 05 $100 −$100 -100%
White Sox vs. Twins: O/U 8.5 Sep 05 $101 +$91 +90%
Guardians vs. Rays Sep 05 $99 +$66 +66%
Will Norway win on 2025-09-04? Sep 04 $164 +$34 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% +$1,786
sports 26% −$532
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $123 1h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $404 23h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $404 23h
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 62¢ $1,036 23h
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 58¢ $992 40h
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01? BUY Yes 65¢ $49 162d
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers BUY Mavericks 55¢ $101 164d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,333 172d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 20¢ $25 172d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 20¢ $273 172d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 21¢ $178 172d
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $22 172d
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22? SELL Yes 38¢ $498 172d
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $328 172d
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $156 172d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) BUY LNG Esports 24¢ $36 172d
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3) SELL JD Gaming 100¢ $520 172d
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3) BUY JD Gaming 60¢ $312 173d
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $27 173d
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21? BUY No 27¢ $27 173d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 173d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21? BUY Yes 57¢ $114 173d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21? SELL Yes 100¢ $281 173d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21? BUY Yes 56¢ $35 173d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21? BUY Yes 59¢ $129 174d
Celtics vs. Raptors SELL Celtics 100¢ $129 174d
Celtics vs. Raptors BUY Celtics 71¢ $92 174d
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $20 181d
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13? BUY Yes 53¢ $180 272d
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $158 272d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +4.4% -5.5% 100% 0% -5.5%
≤30d 1 +4.4% -5.5% 100% 0% -5.5%
≤90d 1 +4.4% -5.5% 100% 0% -5.5%
all 67 -16.5% -24.5% 42% 40% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.5% 40% +1.2%
10% -31.7% 34% -8.4%
15% -38.3% 31% -17.3%
20% -44.4% 27% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $908.34 · official $908.34 (match) · 226 history records