Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c70…baa0
crypto · 719 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$392 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$392 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$392
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses318 / 436
Open positions0
Markets (closed)754 / 719
History coverage79d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day33.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 754 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -3379%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3987%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -563%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -2122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1992%
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1284%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -667%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -391%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3638%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -269%
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$5 -125%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$14 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$7 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$16 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$298
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -56.2% -60.4% 27% 24% -16.0%
≤30d 149 -34.1% -40.4% 35% 30% -18.9%
≤90d 754 -12.9% -21.2% 42% 23% -12.3%
all 754 -12.9% -21.2% 42% 23% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.2% 23% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 16% -20.7%
15% -35.6% 12% -28.3%
20% -41.9% 7% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records