Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:49:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c66…e371
sports · 577 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,042 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,688 · open +$353
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72,013
Realized+$7,688
Unrealized+$353
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses178 / 125
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$763
Open positions338
Markets (closed)303 / 577
History coverage3d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day1076.8
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 338 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$784
7 days+$7,688
14 days+$7,688
30 days+$7,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $9,036 $9,033 −$3 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $7,068 $6,751 −$318 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $4,397 $4,424 +$26 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $4,032 $4,160 +$129 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $4,060 $4,098 +$38 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $3,607 $3,632 +$25 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $3,259 $3,320 +$60 (+2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $2,919 $3,002 +$83 (+3%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $2,541 $2,567 +$26 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $1,382 $1,412 +$30 (+2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1,386 $1,399 +$13 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1,202 $1,214 +$12 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $956 $1,013 +$57 (+6%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 81¢ $854 $870 +$16 (+2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $860 $865 +$5 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $856 $864 +$8 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $849 $854 +$5 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $854 $851 −$3 (-0%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? No 41¢ 42¢ $718 $742 +$23 (+3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $717 $722 +$5 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $629 $649 +$20 (+3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 96¢ $578 $578 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $542 $546 +$4 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? No 86¢ 86¢ $536 $535 −$1 (-0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 93¢ 93¢ $527 $527 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Spread: Poland (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21? Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Will SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Little Rock: Dane Sweeny vs Enzo Aguiard Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Spread: Indonesia (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $118 −$118 -100%
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Sport Boys Association vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$15,151
other 48% −$5,149
crypto 1% +$1
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 13m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 21¢ $3 35m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 21¢ $2 35m
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 86¢ $2 39m
Spread: France (-1.5) BUY France 69¢ $4 41m
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) BUY Jordan 62¢ $4 48m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 73¢ $2 1h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 90¢ $71 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $50 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $151 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $14 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $45 1h
Iraq leading at halftime? BUY No 92¢ $17 1h
Iraq leading at halftime? BUY No 92¢ $16 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 90¢ $14 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $15 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $6 1h
Spain leading at halftime? BUY No 29¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $2 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $3 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $36 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $28 1h
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) BUY Germany 99¢ $5 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $9 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $6 1h
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) BUY Miami Marlins 32¢ $2 1h
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 28¢ $15 1h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 36¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 303 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 50% +4.7%
≤30d 303 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 50% +4.7%
≤90d 303 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 50% +4.7%
all 303 +21.9% +10.3% 59% 50% +4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1076.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.3% 50% +4.7%
10% ← realistic here -0.2% 43% -5.3%
15% -9.9% 35% -14.4%
20% -18.7% 28% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72,012.98 · official $72,010.43 (match) · 3500 history records