trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 22 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 05 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 27 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 17 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 11 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 09 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 18 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 13 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 09 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 05 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 22 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Mar 16 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 13 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 08 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 07 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 04 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Feb 24 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 21 | $118 | $0 | -0% |