Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c65…2e0d
other · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$26
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses35 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)48 / 52
History coverage22d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 4 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$43
14 days−$32
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 71¢ 70¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$16 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $26 +$14 +54%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$30 +582%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +153%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $25 +$8 +31%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 −$7 -71%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$24 +230%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $51 +$6 +12%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $25 +$6 +25%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$4 +35%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $5 +$1 +30%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $5 +$5 +94%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 +$6 +120%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 +$3 +49%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$4 +39%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 −$7 -69%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$2 +17%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $10 +$29 +280%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 +$6 +311%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$2
crypto 40% −$62
sports 2% +$30
world 1% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $52 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $10 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 29¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $35 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $21 12h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $51 12h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $39 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +17.0% +5.8% 74% 29% -16.1%
≤30d 48 +25.0% +13.1% 73% 40% -13.0%
≤90d 48 +25.0% +13.1% 73% 40% -13.0%
all 48 +25.0% +13.1% 73% 40% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.1% 40% -13.0%
10% +2.3% 33% -21.3%
15% -7.6% 25% -28.9%
20% -16.7% 19% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.90 · official $53.38 (match) · 102 history records