Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1C
0x1c64…38ec
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses50 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day47.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$1
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +1.5% -8.2% 89% 30% -10.2%
≤30d 56 +1.5% -8.2% 89% 30% -10.2%
≤90d 56 +1.5% -8.2% 89% 30% -10.2%
all 56 +1.5% -8.2% 89% 30% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 30% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 11% -18.8%
15% -25.0% 9% -26.6%
20% -32.3% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 156 history records