trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +32.1% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | -30.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +32.1% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | -30.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +32.1% | +19.5% | 50% | 50% | -30.3% |
| all | 10 | -47.2% | -52.2% | 20% | 20% | -50.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.2% | 20% | -50.5% |
| 10% | -56.8% | 20% | -55.3% |
| 15% | -60.9% | 20% | -59.6% |
| 20% | -64.8% | 20% | -63.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $6 | +$3 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$3 | +272% |
| Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh | Feb 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 1 | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31? | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31 | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 31 | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31? | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |